In the last 10 years alone, earthquakes have resulted in more than 750,000 deaths and billions of dollars in destruction, ranking among the most devastating natural disasters worldwide. And decades of work in earthquake prediction — from crustal instrumentation and satellite monitoring to radon emissions studies and observations of animal behavior — have to yield demonstrable results. However, the “era of big data” is opening up new avenues for mining diverse information sources for deeply hidden results.
The winning team will be the first to predict three or more earthquakes of magnitude 6.0 or larger on the Richter scale, with advance warning of at least 12 hours and accuracy of better than 200 kilometers in locating the epicenter. False positive rates, within a +/- 14-day window of the predicted earthquake, shall not exceed 50 percent.
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